By Jon McGraw, Investment Policy Committee Chair, Buttonwood Financial Group (Kansas City) Last updated: July 16, 2026
Key takeaways
• On May 28, 2026, Buttonwood’s Investment Policy Committee (IPC) fully recalibrated the Core (non-taxable) allocations.
• On June 30, 2026, the IPC made one targeted addition to the Tax Aware allocations — the same liquid-alternatives position added in May.
• Four May moves: trimmed the equity overweight (3% → 1%), kept high-conviction tilts, added precision where broad bets had less to offer, and upgraded bond quality while introducing liquid alternatives.
• The goal is unchanged: pursue a smoother investment experience and position portfolios for where we are in the economic cycle.
What is the Investment Policy Committee, and what has stayed the same?
For more than 20 years, the Buttonwood Financial Group Investment Policy Committee (IPC) has followed one mission: help clients pursue their financial goals with greater confidence across a wide range of market environments. We aim to do that by balancing two priorities — participating in market upside and building in downside resilience — and by positioning portfolios around where we are in the economic and business cycle.
The May and June 2026 rebalances are a recent example of that process in practice. They are related but not identical: the May trade was a full recalibration of the Core (non-taxable) allocations, and the June trade was a single targeted addition to the Tax Aware allocations.
Where does the market sit in mid-2026?
As of mid-2026, the macro backdrop still leans constructive, but the incremental reward for a broad equity overweight has cooled. Here is the backdrop that drove the decisions:
- Markets have rallied sharply from earlier-year lows and are near fresh all-time highs.
- Corporate earnings have been strong, the U.S. has stayed better insulated from elevated energy prices than most of the world, and the AI buildout has continued to support a real productivity impulse.
- Short-term inflation has ticked higher, but much of that appears tied to visible and likely non-structural drivers (Middle East tensions, oil, and related supply disruptions) rather than a broken disinflation trend.
- Policy carries more uncertainty than usual. Kevin Warsh became Federal Reserve Chair (sworn in May 22, 2026), and his early tenure has leaned hawkish — likely meaning a shorter FOMC statement, less forward guidance, and a firm commitment to the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Jerome Powell has stayed on as a Board Governor rather than stepping down, a break with tradition that raises the possibility of a dual-leadership dynamic and can make incoming data harder to read.
Net effect: the probability of rate cuts this year looks lower than it did at the start of 2026, which is one reason we are being more intentional about where portfolio risk lives.
What changed in the May 28, 2026 Core (non-taxable) rebalance?
The May 28, 2026 rebalance had four parts. It was not an attempt to fade the rally — it was routine portfolio management: reducing risk after a strong run and redeploying it into more precise positions.
1. Why did the IPC trim the equity overweight from 3% to 1%?
We stayed tilted toward stocks over bonds because we still favor the macro setup, but after a strong run we reduced risk. The same risks that unsettled investors earlier in the year still exist; markets are simply facing them from a higher starting point.
2. Which high-conviction positions did the IPC keep?
Where our conviction is strongest, we kept the tilts in place:
- U.S. large-cap and active core exposure
- AI innovation, and companies working to build durable competitive advantages from AI
- Defense and modernization spending as a multi-year, policy-driven theme
- U.S. over developed-international, and growth over value
Our AI and defense positions were held steady.
3. Where did the IPC add precision instead of broad bets?
Where the potential reward for large active bets had cooled, we moved to more efficient or more targeted positions:
- Reduced the U.S. value tilt, where we saw less remaining opportunity
- Trimmed U.S. factor-rotation exposure in the higher-equity models
- Reallocated toward a broader active U.S. core sleeve, with a small addition to growth
- Trimmed emerging markets and international developed after a strong run
- Added an actively managed country-selection strategy on the international side, since country-level dispersion has been wide and static regional weights can leave opportunity unused
4. How did the IPC upgrade bonds and add liquid alternatives?
This was the largest structural change, in two parts:
- We upgraded the bond sleeve. We trimmed credit-heavier total-return bond exposure and rotated toward higher-quality intermediate Treasuries. With credit spreads historically tight, we would rather seek equity upside (where the potential reward is not capped in the way credit is) and hold higher-quality duration bonds (where the diversification characteristics tend to be stronger).
- We added a liquid alternatives position built from three complementary strategies: a global equity market-neutral strategy, a systematic multi-strategy fund, and a tactical opportunities fund. Together, these strategies are intended to seek differentiated, lower-correlation sources of diversification — which can matter most when traditional fixed income is less effective as ballast. Alternative strategies carry their own risks and may not perform as intended.
What changed in the June 30, 2026 Tax Aware rebalance?
On June 30, 2026, the IPC made a single targeted addition to the Tax Aware allocations — the same three-strategy liquid alternatives position added to the Core allocations in May, again funded by trimming fixed income. That was the full scope.
The Tax Aware allocations are designed to rebalance about twice per year and most recently rebalanced in March 2026. We made this addition out of cycle because keeping allocations pointed at the same investment framework matters, even when tax and cash considerations differ across accounts. Adding potential diversification and resilience does not need to wait for the calendar.
How do these moves connect to the November and March updates?
The May and June 2026 rebalances are the next step in a consistent story — what we’ve called the “red thread” running through our updates. Here is the through-line:
- November 2025: we leaned into the equity overweight and refreshed our factor tilts because the macro backdrop supported taking more risk.
- March 2026: we described “refinement, not retreat” — still risk-on, but more selective and more diversified.
- May–June 2026: we reduced risk after a strong run, became more surgical about where active risk lives, upgraded the quality of the bond sleeve, and added a diversification engine underneath.
Same mission, same process, same conviction on where we think the world is heading — with a more diversified portfolio underneath it.
What does this mean for your portfolio?
For most clients, these changes show up as a modest re-mix within your existing allocation: a little less traditional fixed income, a little less broad value and factor exposure, a little more active core, and a new liquid alternatives sleeve — all guided by the same disciplined overall balance.
Your Buttonwood Advisory Team can walk through exactly how this looks in your specific accounts. And if there is a life update, a cash-flow change, or a planning question that should factor into how your assets are positioned, tell us — that context is what turns a portfolio into a plan.
Thank you,
Jon McGraw, Investment Policy Committee Chair
Frequently asked questions
Q: What is an Investment Policy Committee (IPC) rebalance?
A: A rebalance is a periodic review and adjustment of a portfolio’s mix of investments back toward its intended targets. Buttonwood’s IPC reviews allocations and adjusts positioning based on the economic cycle and market conditions.
Q: Why did Buttonwood trim its equity overweight in May 2026?
A: After a strong market run, the IPC reduced the equity overweight from 3% to 1% to manage risk, while still favoring stocks over bonds given the macro setup.
Q: What are liquid alternatives, and why were they added?
A: Liquid alternatives are strategies that seek returns with lower correlation to traditional stocks and bonds. The IPC added a three-strategy sleeve to pursue additional diversification. These strategies carry their own risks and may underperform other approaches.
Q: What is the difference between the Core and Tax Aware allocations?
A: Core (non-taxable) allocations are used where the tax impact of trading is not a primary concern. Tax Aware allocations are managed with tax efficiency in mind and are designed to rebalance about twice per year.
Q: Why was the Tax Aware allocation rebalanced out of cycle in June 2026?
A: To keep both frameworks aligned. Rather than wait for the next scheduled rebalance, the IPC added the same liquid alternatives position it added to Core in May.
Q: How will these changes affect my accounts?
A: Most clients will see a modest re-mix in their allocation. Specifics vary by account — your Advisory Team can review exactly how it looks in yours.
Q: Who leads Buttonwood’s Investment Policy Committee?
A: Jon McGraw serves as Chair of the Investment Policy Committee at Buttonwood Financial Group.
Q: Does rebalancing guarantee better returns?
A: No. Rebalancing is a risk-management and diversification discipline. It does not guarantee a profit or protect against loss, and diversification does not ensure against market risk.
Important disclosures
This update is provided by Buttonwood Financial Group for educational and informational purposes only and reflects the views of the Investment Policy Committee as of July 16, 2026. It is not personalized investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or to adopt any investment strategy.
Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Diversification and asset-allocation strategies — including liquid alternatives — do not ensure a profit or protect against loss and may underperform other strategies. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Forward-looking statements are subject to change and are not guarantees of future outcomes.
Buttonwood Financial Group is a registered investment adviser. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training, nor does it imply approval by the SEC.
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